Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000707 0.000805 0.000909 0.001028 0.001158 0.001297 0.001456
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000564 0.000704 0.000862 0.001053 0.001277 0.001529 0.001833
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000487 0.000646 0.000835 0.001073 0.001362 0.001698 0.002117
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000412 0.000579 0.000785 0.001055 0.001394 0.001801 0.002322
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000350 0.000519 0.000736 0.001029 0.001409 0.001878 0.002491
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000311 0.000484 0.000714 0.001034 0.001459 0.001994 0.002710
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000282 0.000458 0.000700 0.001046 0.001516 0.002120 0.002941
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000243 0.000415 0.000658 0.001016 0.001515 0.002168 0.003072
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000210 0.000375 0.000618 0.000985 0.001507 0.002206 0.003188
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000189 0.000352 0.000600 0.000982 0.001538 0.002294 0.003371
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000171 0.000333 0.000584 0.000983 0.001572 0.002385 0.003560
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000153 0.000311 0.000563 0.000972 0.001589 0.002454 0.003718
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000135 0.000287 0.000539 0.000956 0.001597 0.002510 0.003862
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000127 0.000281 0.000541 0.000980 0.001666 0.002654 0.004133
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000119 0.000273 0.000540 0.000999 0.001726 0.002785 0.004388
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000253 0.000517 0.000982 0.001731 0.002837 0.004529
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000233 0.000492 0.000958 0.001723 0.002868 0.004641
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000223 0.000483 0.000962 0.001758 0.002965 0.004850
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000215 0.000480 0.000973 0.001806 0.003080 0.005087
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000197 0.000454 0.000945 0.001788 0.003096 0.005177
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000180 0.000429 0.000916 0.001766 0.003103 0.005253
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000171 0.000419 0.000913 0.001789 0.003180 0.005435
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000163 0.000411 0.000913 0.001816 0.003263 0.005629